CBDCs Explained: The Good, Bad and Worse
Joshua Scigala TheStandard.io Co-Founder · Involved in Bitcoin Since 2010 (Self-Reported)
The first of two conversations with Joshua Scigala starts with stablecoins, smart-contract risk and the limits of regulation, then builds a practical definition of central bank digital currencies. Scigala explains how CBDCs differ from today’s bank money, why he sees privacy and programmability as the central tradeoff, why he proposes cryptocurrency as an exit, and why he regards cash as important for freedom.

- Joshua Scigala traces his path from building exchange-transparency systems after Mt. Gox to asset-backed stablecoins, arguing that familiar units of account can help bring ordinary users into crypto without relying on algorithmic pegs.
- On regulation, Scigala favors rules encoded transparently in smart contracts, while Kevin Riedl presses the harder question: when code has bugs and developers profit from it, who remains accountable for losses?
- Scigala proposes decentralized insurance; Kevin Riedl partly agrees for advanced users but warns that requiring insurance reduces accessibility and adoption. They later agree on voluntary standards, warnings and education. Scigala also favors market discipline and warns that regulation can protect incumbents from smaller competitors.
- In Scigala’s illustrative settlement comparison, central banks settle net obligations between commercial banks, while a retail CBDC could give one central authority transaction-level visibility and programmable control.
- Scigala presents cryptocurrency as a potential exit from CBDCs and cash as important for freedom. He acknowledges potential government restrictions and the need to follow local law; the discussion also addresses volatility and the risk of losing everything.
Who is Joshua Scigala, and what is TheStandard.io?
Watch this part · 0:000:00 Wavect, the Web3 software company that understands what you want.
Kevin 0:07 Hi everyone, welcome at Wavect. Today with Joshua Scigala, who is the co-founder of TheStandard.io, [unclear] and Vaultoro.com. He is also an advisor of SpotShot and has been around in 2010 when even Satoshi Nakamoto, the founder or whoever he, she or that organization was, was still around.
Kevin 0:35 And today we will talk about CBDCs, Central Bank Digital Currencies. And yeah, I’m really pleased to have you here. Thanks, Joshua, for taking the time out of your busy day and starting. Yeah.
Joshua 0:49 My pleasure, Kevin. It’s really nice to be here. Yeah.
Kevin 0:53 Cool stuff. Yeah. Yeah, thanks again. And I would like to give you already the ball and let us a little bit know about your projects, what you’re working on, what you’re passionate about and how does your day look like?
Joshua 1:08 Yeah, well, you know, like you said, I got into Bitcoin very early and I’ve been obsessed by it. And yeah, I spent a lot of the years trying to fix the transparency problem in Bitcoin exchanges. And one of the first projects of mine was after the Mt. Gox collapse was to build a transparency protocol that we called the Glass Books protocol.
Joshua 1:34 And then no exchanges wanted to use it. So we started building our own exchange in 2014 called Vaultoro. That’s vault as in a gold vault, V-A-U-L-T, and then Oro, which is Spanish for gold, dot com. And we put this transparency protocol in there. And, you know, it was around about 2020, around about 2020, when I just started noticing that a lot of people were invoicing us in Ethereum.
Joshua 2:05 Sorry, in stable coins over Ethereum and stuff like that. So then I started to look into why. And, you know, I kind of fell in love with the idea of stable coins, weirdly enough. I used to hate them, think that’s ridiculous. Bitcoin all the way. But I realized that the normal people, if we want to get crypto adoption and move away from central banking, it’s kind of the Trojan horse that we need.
Joshua 2:31 We need digital currencies that can come out and be usable by people. You know, people know how much a bottle of water costs in their local currency. They don’t know how much it costs in Bitcoin or Ethereum. But stablecoins are, there’s many different types. We saw the collapse of Luna, and I also saw that coming and gave a big talk about it at LABITCONF, which was also recorded.
Joshua 3:00 And it’s on the web somewhere where I said, we warned about, about Luna and that, well, you know, we mentioned Luna, but it was specifically algorithmic stable coins that they will fail. And it wasn’t because I was some sort of visionary. It was more because I’ve seen them come and go over the years.
Joshua 3:23 We saw Dan Larimer’s BitShares, which was an algorithmic stable coin, just get destroyed. We saw a bunch of different stable coins that tried to do algorithmically. So my passion really is now to build asset-backed stablecoins that are decentralized. And that’s really what I’m focused on with TheStandard.io.
Joshua 3:44 And it’s getting really exciting now because we’ve built the smart contracts. We’re almost finished building them anyway. And then on to the testing phase. And we’re going to be launching on the zkEVM on Polygon, which is really exciting. So it will be one of the first projects to launch on that layer two solution from Polygon.
Joshua 4:09 And yeah, there’s just so much happening. And the stablecoins are really exciting because we’re not only doing USD, people can collateralize smart contracts with Bitcoin, Ethereum and tokenized gold, but then issue themselves S-Euro, S-USD, S-Indian rupee, as, you know, a whole bunch of, like, any...
Joshua 4:30 Pretty much we want to go for every major fiat currency peg and then we’ll be doing some stocks and shares later on as well. And we’re starting to focus a lot on the game side of things as well, which is really exciting in the space. I think gaming is really what’s going to be the next NFT sort of style explosion in the crypto space.
Joshua 4:59 So, yeah, so we’re focusing a lot on gaming so people will be able to lock up in-game items and stuff like that into these smart contracts later on if they’re the right standard and use that as collateral to borrow against at 0% interest with the stablecoins. So there’s so much happening and it’s just super exciting.
Joshua 5:22 I’m just really loving this space. It’s really fun. Coming from having a centralized exchange for many years to building a decentralized protocol is really fun.
Kevin 5:35 Thank you for that. I have now a lot of questions on the top of my head. I will try to keep it short. One major question I think that many projects now battle around with is regulation, right? Since that you have had your, or still have it, I am not quite sure, uh, your own centralized exchange, you are now issuing stable coins, what were the challenges, uh, associated with that, and how does it different, does it differ from like five to ten years ago?
How should crypto and stablecoins be regulated?
Watch this part · 5:49Kevin 6:10 Like, yeah, yeah, what do you think about it?
Joshua 6:13 Well, you know, TheStandard is totally separate from the centralized exchange. It’s a, it’s a different project. Um, it’s a different team. Uh, it started off with picking some of the best people that we have, um, on, in Vaultoro and bringing them across to help build it out, but it’s decentralized a lot more now.
Joshua 6:32 So it’s, it’s one of the, you know, regulation’s an interesting one. If there’s a centralized stable coin where you have to lock up assets, then you need human regulations to deal with the bank account that you have, the transparency that you have, and to show that you do have all the money that you say you’ve credited into the, into the stable coin space.
Joshua 6:59 I’m, you know, we’re building this bunch of smart contracts that allow people to lock up assets and mint themselves a token that just happens to peg to some different assets. So there’s no real crossover there. It’s purely virtual. And, and there’s no banking or anything like that.
Joshua 7:28 So where, you know, why I think some regulations are probably a good thing in terms of trying to interface to the banks, I’m of the old school ilk of maths is the best regulator. You know, Sam Bankman-Fried was a really good example of this. There was already regulation like crazy that he had to oblige by.
Joshua 7:52 Did he? No, he just went around it and lied. So if there’s a scammer out there, they’re going to scam. And it doesn’t matter how many regulations you stick in their face. They’re going to do it. So I’m a big fan of programmatic regulation where the regulation is programmed into the smart contracts. If this, then that, otherwise that.
Joshua 8:16 So this is the only way you can have true transparency upfront for the user that understands, aha, this is what I’m getting myself into. These are the rule sets and they’re programmatically enforced, so there’s nothing that any human can do to waver this and that’s, I think, really important for the future.
Kevin 8:38 I’m on your side on this. What, what do I then think as a consequence is: When code is law, right, how do you deal with bugs or security issues, hacks, things like that? Because there are two hard lines as well.
What happens when code is law but code has bugs?
Watch this part · 8:43Joshua 8:56 Yeah. Yeah. I mean, it’s one of these things where you have to test, test, test, test, test some more. You know, people talk about trustlessness in Bitcoin, that Bitcoin is this trustless thing or Ethereum, but it’s not. You have to trust the wallet, you have to trust the smart contracts, you have to trust a whole lot of stuff.
Joshua 9:16 Even if you know how to code, um, you’re the best coder in the world, you still need to trust that you’ve written that well. The, the thing that gets around, like, there are, you know, a lot of these smart contracts have been around long enough that we’ve seen what’s been battle tested and what hasn’t, and you can get these sort of primitives, um, and, and utilize them.
Joshua 9:39 Of course, if you rewrite them, um, you want to try to follow those as much as possible without, without, you know, totally ripping them off. But this is the beautiful thing about open source, is that you can see some, some things and see how they work, um, see if they’ve been battle tested for years.
Joshua 9:55 But there’s been cases where there’s been contracts out for years, even Bitcoin, and someone will find a bug. Um, so it’s one of these things that’s, it’s very, very hard to answer. I think it’s part of being an early adopter in crypto that you could lose everything. Um, I, you know, I don’t want anyone to think that this space isn’t, uh, hasn’t got that risk because there’s a definite risk of that.
Joshua 10:22 Um, but at the same time, it’s a high risk, high reward space, you know. Um, if we can build something that’s, um, that’s amazing and, and, you know, that’s really what you want to look out for when choosing a project to buy into or support, is that you want to look at their team. You want to make sure that they’ve been around for a while.
Joshua 10:45 They know what they’re doing. They’re not just writing a white paper and just, you know, just straight out of high school, writing some code. I mean, that can be okay as well. You know, never say never, but it’s one of those flags that you want to sort of look at and say, okay, you know, they can do it.
Joshua 11:00 And that’s why I’ve put together a really stellar team for TheStandard.io. And yeah, it’s always on the back of our mind. Just like having a centralized exchange is security, security, security is on your mind. The same thing goes with dApps. How do you go about it?
Kevin 11:23 Well, it’s definitely a highly philosophical, come on, [unclear], it’s an ethical question, right? Um, on which side are you if a hack happens? Uh, well, the code had a hole in it, right? Code is law here, is it, right? We had this with, uh, the Ethereum hack a few years ago, right? Uh, so basically I’m, to be honest, a little bit towards regulation, good regulation, right?
Kevin 11:53 Because I’m a developer myself and I know no matter how much effort I put into something, how many security tools I use, how good the infrastructure is, just thinking about zkEVM, there still will be some kind of bugs, some kind of issues at somewhere down the line. Just said it yourself with Bitcoin.
Kevin 12:19 So at that I personally definitely think there needs to be someone at least a tiny bit accountable for something, right? Because you’re profiting from it, so you also need to be somewhat accountable for the risk that goes along with it. But that’s just, yeah.
Joshua 12:38 I mean, I, I agree, but how are you going to regulate? You can, you can definitely put accountability, but really if it’s unregulatable, like if it’s a smart contract running in cyberspace and it’s put together by a bunch of randos that you don’t know, how are you going to regulate that? You can say we want regulation, but it’s very different when it’s a literal dApp running on some chain somewhere.
Can decentralized insurance protect users?
Watch this part · 12:59Joshua 13:09 I think where really that solution comes in for protecting users is like decentralized insurance and stuff like that. These can be done with prediction markets. So a prediction market could say, I bet, like me as an insurance contract could say, I bet that we will, we will never be hacked, you know, and, and, and, and I put a whole bunch of Ethereum in there.
Joshua 13:44 And then, and then other people that use us say, well, I’ll buy some insurance to say, I get that pot if there’s a hack. And so you can start to build mechanisms like insurances into smart contracts to allow people to get paid back for certain things. And this doesn’t need to be, uh, issued by the people issuing that smart contract.
Joshua 14:09 It could have been issued by a company, like a dApp that does specifically that task for, for DeFi or for NFTs or whatever. It would be very hard to do that for, like, oh, I got hacked, you know, I want an insurance payout, but because you could hack yourself. But, um, but it would be very good for, hey, I’m using this smart contract.
Joshua 14:36 They are betting that it will never be hacked. And then it was hacked. So, you know, pay out.
Kevin 14:43 Interesting point. I’ve heard that already several times. And I somewhat agree with you for advanced users. But thinking about people that still have a hard time remembering passwords, telling them, hey, you need to buy some kind of insurance to protect you from that service being hacked. I think that’s definitely something that reduces accessibility, adoption.
Kevin 15:14 And also going back to your initial statement, the devs can be anonymous, which is great, right? In general, I’m in for that. But when it comes to, well, I develop something and I break something, if I develop software for an airline, right, for some kind of flying vehicle, then and I didn’t, let’s say, take the necessary or industry standards as measures to actually secure that code, then it should be at least a company that has to correct that or come up with some kind of correct...
Kevin 15:59 It’s just personal opinion, right? You asked.
Joshua 16:02 Yeah, yeah. I mean, it’s interesting because, you know, you’re equating the old school world with the new school world. And while that makes sense in a lot of ways, people that are coming into the space, it’s it’s different, right? Because it’s not like the whole philosophy is have a decentralized space, right?
Joshua 16:24 So well, that was a philosophy of behind Bitcoin. And people can say, hey, we’ve got, you know, safeguards and everything else. The problem with a lot of regulation is that who creates them? Who writes them? In which country? And then you get multiple regulations all muddled up and you can’t comply with that one and that one at the same time because they’re negative.
Does regulation protect users or incumbents?
Watch this part · 16:36Joshua 16:54 So then you have to choose which one. Then you get regulatory capture where one [unclear] might say, hey, we want more regulation, more regulation, more regulation. This is what happened with the banking industry, that they regulated themselves so much. And the banking regulations are all written by the banks, by the way.
Joshua 17:13 So they protected themselves so much from startups. That’s why you didn’t even hear the word fintech before. Like maybe PayPal was the only fintech around for years. And Bitcoin was kind of the first sort of breakthrough fintech thing. So you had these banks that have built these moats around themselves.
Joshua 17:34 So no one could compete. Like no one could build a startup bank because you just try competing with that. You know, the amount of regulatory overhead was so much paperwork every week and that you just couldn’t do it. So, so, um, they, they’d done this to, and it’s called regulatory capture. It’s a common, common concept.
Joshua 17:54 Um, and then Bitcoin came along, which was so out of left field that they’re like looking over the fence going, what, what? They trapped themselves in and they couldn’t even, you know, they didn’t know how to, how to deal with it. It was interesting because it was a total paradigm shift in the way that money works or in the way that money is even released, because what do you mean there’s no one that controls this?
Joshua 18:17 What do you mean there’s no one that issues it? What the network pays people to secure the network? What you know, it was so crazy that that banks didn’t know how to do it because they regulated themselves into this little island and they couldn’t get out. So I just don’t want to see that happen to Bitcoin.
Joshua 18:35 And while I do think exchanges need regulation and to deal with the banks, because there’s a whole lot of infrastructure stuff going on there, I do still think that a lot of regulation needs to be pulled back. And we need to get back to market regulations where humans and education, education rather, rather than regulation, because you need to teach people what...
Joshua 19:07 No one knows what a good bank looks like. If I said to you, hey, what, what’s, what’s, how do you choose your bank? You’ll be like, I don’t know, like...
19:15 [unclear].
Joshua 19:18 Sorry, sorry about that, Kevin. But, uh, but yeah, the, you know, I don’t know, like, how to, how do I choose a bank? Like the nice ad that I saw, you know, because all of the due diligence has been removed from us to determine what a good bank looks like. In the past, you would have to like look at the balance sheet, try to make sure it’s good because it could go broke.
Joshua 19:46 And even now, the FDIC insurance in the US is like 200k. So if you have more than that, you know, you need to start spreading your money out to a whole bunch of banks. It gets very, very unruly very quickly if you have a few million bucks. And so, and the FDIC insurance also doesn’t keep up with inflation.
Joshua 20:07 So, you know, in five years time, 200K really isn’t much at all, buy your carton of milk. So what I’m saying with that is, I think education is one of these things where shows like yours and others are so important because it teaches people how to actually use this stuff. Because you can’t just come in to the crypto space using password as a password and expecting not to have something go wrong.
Joshua 20:43 You do need to be a bit more sophisticated. And look, the new kids on the block that are coming around, they are a lot more sophisticated in general, generally speaking. Of course, the NFT crowd came along and you’ve got all sorts of people that don’t have a clue what they’re doing and hearing hacks all the time.
Joshua 21:05 And it’s heartbreaking because they lose their life savings. But at the same time, sometimes, you know, the best lesson is to touch the flame. You know, you don’t know how hot that candle is until you actually felt what a flame feels like. And then you go, I’m not touching that again. And, you know, hopefully that lesson isn’t too painful.
Joshua 21:26 You know, you lose a little bit. But, you know, I lost a lot of money in Mt. Gox collapse back in the day. My friends have lost money. And in other ways as well, right? They’ve bought at the top of the market when the hype is like going crazy and they finally buy their first crypto and then it crashes.
Joshua 21:42 Happens to everyone. So it’s one of those things. Education, I think, is more important than regulation.
Why does Scigala consider education more important than regulation?
Watch this part · 21:47Kevin 21:50 You said a couple of very interesting things now. I’m with you on the regulation side that how regulation is being set up definitely needs to change and adapt that and all that kind of stuff. On the other hand, every time, and I think that’s where we need to, where I draw the line and maybe that’s the communication gap as well.
Kevin 22:16 I’m with you when the protocol that these anon devs set up doesn’t make revenue for these devs by themselves in a centralized way because they own a lot of tokens in their DAO for example where they can vote on decisions and these kind of things. If the DAO, the decision maker on chain, is actually truly decentralized, I’m with you.
Kevin 22:42 Otherwise, there are, there is some centralized control, right? And then, as I said, just my personal opinion doesn’t mean it’s a good thing.
Joshua 22:54 I totally agree. And this is the beautiful thing about the market, right? Is that 2017, when the whole ICO boom happened, the market evolved very quickly, everyone bought into everything. And then they started saying, hmm, no, I’m not going to buy into a project where, you know, these and this and that, and the founders have like 99% of the tokens.
Joshua 23:21 And so the market starts to adapt and evolve. And, and then you start getting general best practices. So you’re like, okay, the best practices are watch out for things like rug pulls. How do rug pulls happen? Rug pulls happen when there’s a large bunch of VCs that have jumped in early, and they’re gonna dump on all the retail.
Joshua 23:43 So as the space evolves, people get smarter and smarter, and they start to build a type of regulation in any way, because if you run an ICO or some sort of token sale with really bad token economics built in that are bad practices, a lot of people just won’t go there. And we’ve seen huge projects like the Internet Computer project that launched, launched with this massive hype train and massive market cap.
Joshua 24:17 What was it? It was a whole bunch of VCs and people just had enough. And so you saw it tank really quickly. I mean, it’s still fairly high in the market cap, but it was interesting watching people’s opinions change about certain aspects of token sales. And I think that the market is the best regulator for that stuff.
Joshua 24:40 And, you know, maybe there’s maybe there’s a really good middle ground where we can have because the gold industry, for instance, in the UK is voluntarily regulated. It’s regulated by a private organization called the Bullion Market Association, and they build out best practices. And if you follow those best practices, you get to have their stamp on your page.
Joshua 25:03 So these sorts of things are a really good idea, especially in a global environment where you don’t want to deal with country by country having all different types of regulations. You could have a system that starts to build out really good, a really good system for certain projects and say, if a project follows our guidelines, we’ll give it the stamp of approval and, um, and, you know, go, go with it like that.
Joshua 25:30 Or, you know, maybe there’s different scales and different types of, uh, stamps that you could have. But I think that’s really where the industry needs to go because you’re right, we do need rule sets. We need to warn people that are getting fresh into this space, uh, that are, that are looking at it with, with big eyes going, wow, look at all this crazy money that’s floating around, and sort of warn them, hey, you know, there’s a lot of people that can take advantage of you if you don’t know what you’re doing.
Joshua 25:55 Look out for maybe these stamps and, and check it on their website that they’re following those, those voluntary regulations.
Kevin 26:02 Yeah, absolutely. Um, I think we are completely aligned here. Um, as a regulation can also just mean education, right? Looking at centralized, uh, exchanges, hey, are you sure this is your wallet? Or, or you can’t take it back, and these kinds of things, just disclaimers, warnings already helping you, or hey, a mini tutorial, do you understand this?
Kevin 26:29 This, yes, yes, yes. These kinds of things definitely help as well.
Joshua 26:35 I’ll give you just a quick example of terrible regulation. So running Vaultoro.com, we’ve run it since 2015. And the regulator in the UK forced us to not be the custodian anymore, even though we’ve never had a hack. We’re probably one of the oldest exchanges never to have a hack. So we know what we’re doing.
Joshua 27:01 We’re a bloody good team. Yet the regulator in the UK says, if you want our license, you have to use a third party custodian. And they didn’t care who it was as long as it was a third party custodian, as long as it wasn’t us. So there’s an example of people that don’t know what the hell they’re doing.
Joshua 27:23 Um, I’m calling it a regulation because it’s just a rule, but it’s a terrible rule. Um, because it doesn’t make any sense. It literally made no sense, uh, for us who know what we’re doing. We’ve got, uh, you know, we’ve had years of experience in digital security, and this is, by the way, why we’re so confident as well with TheStandard.
Joshua 27:47 We’re really strong in our security front. Um, that we, uh, you know, that they, that they come along with this terrible [unclear], and this is the sorts of thing that, that happens all the time where you just get politicians going, oh. They don’t have a clue what really, boots on the ground, they haven’t worked in the industry, right?
Joshua 28:07 And, and so it can happen where people that beg for good regulation end up getting terrible terrible rule sets and usually it’s, it’s, it’s to protect legacy systems, and that, that’s how the banking system works. They, they use regulation to protect themselves.
Kevin 28:27 That’s absolutely a good one, and I think it’s part of a much larger problem with that people make rules in general for anything that they oftentimes are not a specialist for. Simple as that, right? And in crypto it’s more obvious than in other sectors, so I’m with you on that point, and nobody wants that kind of regulation.
Kevin 28:49 Maybe thinking about or talking about these kind of regulation scenarios, let’s go back to CBDCs for a second, because I think it’s really tightly associated with that. First of all, how would you, to get everyone on the same page, how would you define them, and what do you think about them?
What is a CBDC, and how does it differ from bank money?
Watch this part · 29:14Kevin 29:17 Let’s keep it simple.
Joshua 29:20 All right, so a lot of people get confused. They think the CBDC is just, they go, oh, well, it’s a digital dollar or digital euro. I’m already using digital euros. I use my card all the time. I hardly use cash. Beep, beep, beep everywhere. What’s the difference? The difference is with the CBDC, just to outline it for your listeners, if I pay you, Kevin, my bank says, if I pay you $100, my bank says, okay, at the end of the day, I owe your bank $100.
Joshua 30:01 And your bank maybe sent someone else that is using my bank $50 during that day, you know. And so at the end of the day, all of, it’s like a roll up in the crypto space. At the end of the day all those transactions go to the central bank, and the central bank says, ah, that bank sent 100 to that bank, but that bank sent 50 to that bank, so to settle everything that bank only owes 50.
Joshua 30:30 Boom. So it’s one transaction and it settles everything out. Now what happened in that, in that space? In that space the central bank knows nothing about all the transactions that happened in that day from that bank. All they know is that bank owes that bank that much money and that’s it, done, settled, onto the next day.
Joshua 30:52 Now every bank has a fiduciary duty to protect the privacy of you as a user, from the government, from anybody, actually. Now a government can see your records by going to the courts, getting a subpoena, go to the bank and having due process to figure out, hey, you’re a criminal, I’m going to look through your banking stuff and see you’re not doing criminals, right?
Joshua 31:23 Or the, the IRS or the, the, you know, different tax authorities, um, can do that. But there’s, there’s steps that they need to go through. When a CBDC happens, you’re basically removing all those banks and every microtransaction is going to the central bank, identified to you and building a database of what you’re spending money on, where you’re spending money, whatever, right?
Joshua 31:52 So you think, okay, I got it. Now with the banking system, all those databases are spread around. So not one authority knows exactly. Your bank knows what you do. Your bank does, but not a single central authority figure which has the force power to force anything upon anyone. Now, we just lived through a pretty hardcore three years, right, where there was lockdowns and all sorts of stuff.
Joshua 32:24 Now, whatever you think of it, in the future... They had some weird talk about weird regulations, right? Weird regulations where they just shut shops, but you could buy milk and bread but not the thing over there, and they’d like cordon off like the little doll section for kids because that, you can’t buy that.
Joshua 32:42 We’re in a pandemic, don’t you know? And so in the future they wouldn’t... With the CBDC you could just say, well, uh, you wandered out of your 10 kilometer radius, uh, we’re not going to allow you to spend your money there, so your money just doesn’t work. You could also say, hey, you’ve spent, you know, global warming is a problem.
Joshua 33:07 You’ve already spent three litres of oil, of gas this month. You’re not allowed to buy any more. Doesn’t work. Oh, obesity is a problem. You’ve already had your ration of sugar this month. There’s a war going on. We can’t, you know, whatever they want, they can fully control your your money and your spending and your life.
Joshua 33:28 Now, you’re very, very close from that scenario. You can also then say, and actually, this is already happening in some countries, in some of the new test cases where they have a shelf life on your savings. Oh, the economy is doing really badly. We need people to have velocity in their money. We need people to spend and move their money to stimulate the economy.
Joshua 33:52 If you don’t spend your savings in the next 30 days, or at least 5% of it, it will just stop being there. We will just remove it. And this is literally happening where your $5 becomes zero, or your 10 buck notes or whatever it is. So we’re talking hardcore, [unclear] centralized control over your money.
Joshua 34:18 Now, what is money, right? Money at its core is your work and time and your toil, your hands building or doing or service or whatever it is that you do, and, and, and you take that, you, you put that service into a thing that you’re saving. It’s a proof of work at the end of the day. Yeah, some people inherit and you can get, you know, a bit technical on that, but at the end of the day it’s proof of work.
Joshua 34:43 Now you’ve spent your life and you’ve paid taxes and done everything. And now you’re giving the centralized state so much control over those savings. It’s a very, very, very dangerous place that we’re going and not enough people are talking about it. It needs to be discussed around the dinner table.
Joshua 35:03 A lot of these governments are like, oh, by the way, we’re bringing out CBDCs by 2023 or 2025 or whatever it is. And people are like, oh, okay. They just think it’s like a banking upgrade. And what do they say? They say, oh, we’re going to have real-time settlement for everybody. And you think, oh, great.
Joshua 35:21 Why do I care? I mean, I’ve got Venmo for that if I want. You know, if I want to pay your bank, yeah, it takes 24 hours. Who cares? And if I go to the shop and swipe my credit card, what do I care if he sees it the next day or not? I get my goods. He knows it’s settled. It’s done. And, by the way, crypto has real-time, well, pretty much settlement as well.
Joshua 35:42 So we’ve already got instant settlement if we want it. What do we lose? We lose a lot, a lot of freedom, potentially. Yeah, at the beginning, they’re not going to do anything. But it’s one step away from attaching that CBDC to a social credit score, just like China, to really then ratchet up control.
Joshua 36:07 So it’s really, really important that people discuss these concepts, discuss what this technology can do and be aware of it. And, you know, I was telling people in 2010, Bitcoin is not a scam. You know, it’s this, it’s that, it’s amazing. You know, I was telling people and no one would listen, and I just hope that now they listen to say, uh, when I, when I’m now warning against the technology, and, uh, and that is, that is these CBDCs.
Joshua 36:41 They’re coming anyway, right? But we do have an exit door and the exit door is cryptocurrency.
Can cryptocurrency provide an exit from CBDCs?
Watch this part · 36:42Kevin 36:47 Okay, I have two questions now, and first of all, don’t get me wrong, 100%, not 99%, 100% on your side here, okay? First of all, do you think that crypto, because if we have such a system in place there would be a lot of, let’s say, incentives for governments to regulate, to actually regulate down crypto or even prohibit it, to actually prevent you from using it?
Kevin 37:18 For example, you are only allowed to withdraw a thousand dollars a month from crypto to your bank account because it needs to be checked, or these kind of things. What’s your viewpoint on that?
Joshua 37:29 They will, absolutely. They will. Okay, they’ll come after crypto like anything, but Bitcoin’s, Bitcoin was built with the idea of, you know, not giving a shit. Like, it, it’s that, that’s why it’s the honey badger of money, right? That was the nickname, because it doesn’t care. It, it, the thing is that if you have one foot in the real world in terms of that money side of things and one foot in crypto, first of all you feel the volatility a lot more.
Joshua 38:06 It’s, you know, there’s a lot more sort of happening. If you have both feet in crypto, meaning you get paid in crypto, you save in crypto, you bank in crypto, you get yield in crypto, you do everything in crypto. And you, I don’t know, like, even you can get debit card, you know, that maybe, yeah, maybe it wouldn’t work in your country if that sort of regulation comes in.
Joshua 38:35 But you can, you know, things have worked, like, there’s so many workarounds that are happening that that I think it’s tricky, but I don’t want to live in a world where I’m some sort of person just doing something that’s not legal in my country. I’m always gonna do something that’s legal, because I don’t wanna end up in prison and neither should anybody else.
Joshua 39:02 But I think there’s something about, what’s interesting is yield, right? What DeFi has showed the world is that you remove a whole bunch of inefficiencies from the legacy financial system by allowing people to put their money directly into automated market makers and allow the trading fees to collect.
Joshua 39:35 Now, that is actually how your bank gives you your yield, except a bank where your money lies gives your money to about 10 different middlemen before the market maker gets hold of it and starts speculating with it or market making with it. So there’s no way the legacy system can compete. So with DeFi, once it gets more and more established, there is only one way for legacy liquidity to go, and that’s into crypto.
Joshua 40:09 So this money is so powerful. I think they will work with regulators to allow it to go there because it’s just a much more efficient way of dealing with money in general. So I think that’s really where the rubber meets the road is that liquidity always goes towards strong yields.
Joshua 40:46 And so if there’s a government that regulates the heck out of it and stops it all, that liquidity won’t stay in that country. It’ll shift to a country that doesn’t have that and then do it. And what’s happening? Well, there’s now an exit, not straight back and forth from DeFi to that country, but totally out of that country and into DeFi.
Joshua 41:11 So I’m pretty optimistic in that I don’t think countries will be so stupid to basically ban the future of financial business. They will try to choke it out for a little while until they realize it’s a dumb move.
Kevin 41:36 That’s a good point. One thing going back a bit to the initial question. When we have these, let’s say, I just lost track. Sorry for a second.
41:51 Oh, good.
Kevin 41:53 When we have these CBDCs, right? There’s probably a blockchain behind it. So that’s the main issue with all of that, right? You have that new ecosystem that has these, let’s say, microtransactions, which is great, right? But also a lot of control that can be executed, enforced on it. And the main difference, what you stated before is that these banks usually don’t share that information with others, right?
Do central bank digital currencies need a blockchain?
Watch this part · 41:56Kevin 42:26 There are some steps before that, before our government, a centralized authority, gains access to all of the information. So if that’s just an assumption, right? Just play as I’m doing game theory here. If the actual bad outcomes of CBDCs would be an actual goal of governments and banks, don’t you think they would just regulate banks in a way that they need to share this information and are able to enforce that onto banks in a unified manner?
Kevin 43:04 It’s more complicated, less efficient, 100% with you. But wouldn’t that be, let’s say, maybe also less friction with the public market because it’s an existing system? They don’t need to change anything.
Joshua 43:23 I think that there’s a lot of, you know, a lot of these ideas of privacy go all the way back to the Magna Carta. Like they’re very well established structures of privacy. I think it’s way more difficult to change all of the laws and all of the things based around that rather than say, hey, we’ve got a new technology base.
Joshua 43:48 This is just an upgrade. And everyone gets real-time settlement. And by the way, we can, you know, basically have control over everybody. And just to quickly go back to what you were saying with the blockchain, yeah, maybe it’s a blockchain, but I actually think it’s probably just going to be three separate servers and they’re just taking turns hashing.
Joshua 44:11 And so it’s not, you know, the speed of true blockchains are too slow. Um, you can do the same idea of, you know, putting the hash of the last block in the new one just to, you know, that’s the reason why, why governments haven’t centralized, um, money yet is because there is, um, just too big of a chance of getting hacked.
Joshua 44:43 And all of a sudden the entire country is bankrupt because the money’s gone, you know, like what? What just happened, right? So that’s why you cannot have a, you know, a SQL database that’s got everybody’s accounts on them because if it gets hacked, then we’re screwed. So that’s why it’s taken a while to do this.
Joshua 45:10 And they, you know, this really, Satoshi’s invention was to have this distributed ledger to make it immutable. And that’s not just a word that’s thrown around. It really means that, and that’s what really gives the power to the CBDCs, that immutability and knowing that a foreign adversary can’t just hack in and bankrupt the nation.
Joshua 45:35 Yeah, I don’t know where I was going with that or if it answered your question.
Kevin 45:39 Absolutely. Thanks for that. But wouldn’t that imply also that we would get rid of cash, which is always a big, big discussion point all the time?
Would CBDCs replace cash?
Watch this part · 45:45Joshua 45:50 Yeah, I mean, there’s nothing that governments want more than to get rid of cash because cash is literally like Monero. It’s it’s totally anonymous. Yeah, it’s got some serial numbers, but it’s it’s there’s no way that anybody knows what anybody’s spending and what taxes are being dodged. So the more people use cards, the more the government’s happy because they can then they can see in real time what’s happening to their economy.
Joshua 46:20 They can see in real time where there’s black holes, where people aren’t consuming. There’s lots of reasons why governments would want a more digital oversight into their economy because the cash economy is pretty harsh. But the problem is that a vast amount of the, like more than what people realize is part of the black economy, which is, you know, it’s not a nice name for it because actually it’s normal people like the Uber drivers.
Joshua 46:55 Not that, Uber is a different thing because you tip in the app, but, you know, the Deliveroo guy, the student that comes panting up your doorstep, giving you food for a buck, you know, they really live on the tips. and this is all black money that actually stimulates the economy. Yes, it doesn’t get taxed, but it stimulates the economy to a point where it actually helps the economic thing so that you don’t want to crush all that.
Joshua 47:31 The tip economy is so massive. It’s really quite a good chunk of the economy. and it’s important. It’s an important part of the economy. And so we’ll see what happens when... I mean, there’s countries already that just basically, they’re already starting to get rid of ATMs. Australia’s already starting to get rid of ATMs.
Joshua 47:52 There’s a lot less here now than there was a few years ago. Some towns don’t have any anymore. So, you know, it’s already a slow push towards that. And in some countries, you see homeless people with a little QR code, um, you know, like software that you can transfer money, um, like that. So, uh, yeah, I mean, it’s, I think it’s unfortunate.
Joshua 48:16 I think it’s, I think cash is a really important part of freedom in general. And again cryptocurrency is a digital cash, you know, it’s a, it’s a type of digital cash, so it’s, it’s an important, it will be an important part of the economy.
Kevin 48:31 Absolutely. Love it. Hey, thanks, Joshua, for this. Really was a pleasure discussing with you and listening to your insights. And I would say, do you maybe have, to wrap this all up, three things that you want people to remember from this cool session?
What should people remember about CBDCs?
Watch this part · 48:48Joshua 48:54 Well, you know, I would say, you know, talk to people, talk to your friends, talk to your family about what it means, these CBDCs. Send them this podcast and this discussion and talk about it. Don’t just let the world give you, take away, take away your freedoms because if you’re, if you have children or you’re looking to have children, they won’t have the same sort of freedoms as you had growing up.
Joshua 49:27 and that’s a sad thing. You know, we should try to, you know, freedom is something that can be taken away very, very quickly, and it’s something that our forefathers, our grandparents fought and died for, for our freedoms. They literally did. It’s important to not just let a technological upgrade steal that away.
Joshua 49:52 Take it seriously. That’s one takeaway. The second one is, you know, um, we’d love if you, if you’ve got talents or if you don’t have time, if you just love, uh, technology and, and, uh, you know, going against CBDCs because this is really what stable coins do, especially decentralized stable coins, only, only fully overcollateralized decentralized stable coins like TheStandard.io, um, come and come and join the Discord and, and the, uh, the, uh, the Telegram if that’s what you’re into and, uh, yeah, talk, talk about these things with us.
Joshua 50:26 Um, if you can help with graphic design or with development, come and join the community. It’s a really fun community. It’s a great community. We have like a type of metaverse where it’s kind of like a cypherpunk cowboy Western theme. It’s weird. It’s sort of taken on a life of its own. But it’s just basically people making avatars for each other in that sort of theme, which is fun.
Joshua 50:50 And yeah, come and check it out. It’s a cool community.
Kevin 50:55 Awesome. Hey, really thanks mate. Please be so kind and send these links to me. I will put it into the video description. And yeah, thanks as well. Awesome. For everyone watching.
51:06 Thanks, mate. Thanks, everyone. Smash the likes. Wavect, the Web3 software company that understands what you want.
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